Financial crisis in America may affect Laos’ economy in two ways: a) via foreign investment and through Laos’ import-export sector. However, according to a Lao banking professional and high-ranking official, it will not have a direct impact on Laos’ economy. This due mainly to the offset of the increase in investment in hydropower and mining sectors, which accounted for 27% of Laos’ gross national products (GNP), and increased as much as 15% during the fiscal year of 2007-08. As a result, as estimated by Asian Development Back (ADB), Laos will still gain economic growth at an annual rate of between 7% and 8% for the next three years.
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This growth is shown greatly in major cities, especially in Vientiane. Mr. Sombath Yialiher, Lao People’s Revolutionary Party Secretary of Vientiane Prefecture, reveals, with GDP of over 11 thousand trillion Kips or approximately US$1,400 per capita income, economy in Vientiane Prefecture has continuously been growing.
Listen to Songrit's report for more details in Lao.
http://www.voanews.com/lao/2008-10-03-voa4.cfm
I think Lao Official needs to wake up and smell the coffee. U.S. economy does have an effect on the global economy.
This is a simple example: If US economy is bad, people loosing jobs and can't afford to go on vacation. Lao Nork can't afford to go back and visit Laos. Laos will take a big hit on that also, I dont know if those Lao official thinks about that at all.
The global economic crisis could prevent Laos from leaving the UN's list of least-developed countries by 2020 if economic growth does not significantly increase, Lao economists warn.
The current growth rate of 8 percent per year could be enough to remove Laos from the list, but the US credit crisis is affecting the world market and its long-term impact on Laos is uncertain.
This was the assessment of Deputy Minister of Planning and Investment Bounthavy Sisouphanthong, who was speaking yesterday at a two-day economic forum in Vientiane to follow up on the Third National Human Development Report.
The report was prepared by the United Nations Development Programme in 2006.
“We need to speed up economic growth because more global economic turmoil is possible. Our growth rate needs to be at least 8.5 or 9 percent annually,” Bounthavy said.
The forum gathered representatives from government ministries and the UN in an attempt to devise practical solutions to ensure the continued growth of the Lao economy.
Bounthavy said the US credit crisis was not as serious as the Asian financial crisis of 1997 and 1998 in terms of possible impact on the Lao economy.
“The reason for this is that there are not many US investors in Laos and Lao exports to the US are small, whilst a large volume of our exports is garment products,” he said.
He said the financial crisis of 1997 and 1998 was very serious for Laos because the majority of investors in Laos at that time were from Thailand . Thai investors withdrew most of their money from Laos to stave off the threat of bankruptcy.
Economists suggested a clear plan be outlined in each sector to address any further downturn in the global economy. A larger budget for the development of health and education remained a key priority.
Bounthavy said at present the economy was growing but the development disparity between rural and urban areas was a persistent problem. Unemployment and income generation for villagers remained a challenge.
Officials at the forum are focusing on four topics.
The first topic is the need to boost productivity and quality in commercial production to better integrate the country's economy with that of other countries in the region.
The second topic is improving efficiency in the agriculture sector.
“Our labour force is small but we use a lot of people in this sector. We will have to balance the use of our labour force to match the demands of economic growth,” Bounthavy said.
He said a lack of risk taking and profit motive meant investment in agriculture was not as efficient as it could be.
“Investment in agriculture is similar to that in other sectors, where the main aim should be to trade and earn a profit. But the investment of our people in agriculture only achieves self-sufficiency at present.”
He said the low use of technology in agriculture showed Laos lagged behind in industrialised agriculture development.
Third on the agenda is a discussion of possible ways to add value to naturally sourced products, such as in mining, while facilitating the growth of small and medium sized enterprises. The growth of these enterprises is to be encouraged because they can provide a strong foundation on which to build the country's economy. This could help minimise the impact of any global economic downturn.
The final item for discussion at the forum is the management of illegal migration from Laos , with a view to ensuring migration does not have an adverse economic effect.
All I have to say is... Go back two weeks ago, when the U.S. Government anounced about bailing out AIG and WaMu got bought off by JP Morgan. So?? What happen to the Asian Stock Market that day? It hasn't hit that low for a long, alot of investors was scrambling. And some of you guys still think it doesnt effect Laos at all. I dont know what you guys and those Lao officials are smoking? But, must be something pretty good.
U.S. is the number one consumer of China products. Put on your thinking cap for few minutes ok. If American stop buying stuffs from China, where the hell you think China will get their $$$ to invest in Laos??
Ja man ngo!!! Ya su pun ya on lai... kun mee sa mong la kit dair..
it will effect laos butt.... i believe that its time for a new economic power to come into the world and thats china. an empire has to fall before another one rises.
and with the new economic power being so close to our home land laos will surely gain from U.S. economy falling.
after the U.S. economy fall im sure there is goingto be a new world order and laos will move up a spot soon enough.
The term financial crisis is applied broadly to a variety of situations in which some financial institutions or assets suddenly lose a large part of their value. In the 19th and early 20th centuries, many financial crises were associated with banking panics, and many recessions coincided with these panics. Other situations that are often called financial crises include stock market crashes and the bursting of other financial bubbles, currency crises, and sovereign defaults.
Many economists have offered theories about how financial crises develop and how they could be prevented. There is little consensus, however, and financial crises are still a regular occurrence around the world.
The term financial crisis is applied broadly to a variety of situations in which some financial institutions or assets suddenly lose a large part of their value. In the 19th and early 20th centuries, many financial crises were associated with banking panics, and many recessions coincided with these panics. Other situations that are often called financial crises include stock market crashes and the bursting of other financial bubbles, currency crises, and sovereign defaults.
Many economists have offered theories about how financial crises develop and how they could be prevented. There is little consensus, however, and financial crises are still a regular occurrence around the world.
Khonthakek,
What do you meant by the bank being panic? It is beyond panic brother, banks are loosing their $$$ and forced to close its branch left and right. So many people I know are being affected by this bad economy. Some are even loosing their jobs and foreclose their homes. This is beyond panic ok!
Tell me when was the last time any major banks in U.S. close down?
As the world lurches towards recession, with all the turmoil on wall street these past days affecting markets worlwide,. Perhaps the Americans should shut the market down for a period to give them a chance to sort their problem out.
This one just for thought, okay so don't be serious Big banks buy little banks. Maybe next, big countries will buy bits of little countries. Australia buy half of Sepon for Ores, Korea buy half of Luang Prabang for golf course, China buy half of Vientiane for developing a big the China Town, Japan buy half of Vang vieng for fun But here no body want to buy Bangkok - Thailand
What do you meant by the bank being panic? It is beyond panic brother, banks are loosing their $$$ and forced to close its branch left and right. So many people I know are being affected by this bad economy. Some are even loosing their jobs and foreclose their homes. This is beyond panic ok!
Tell me when was the last time any major banks in U.S. close down?
not very sure what s the definition , some book explains: Banking panics belong to a general class of financial shocks, which include panics in the stock market, the foreign exchange market and the acceleration of commercial bankruptcies. Banking panics are only one type of financial shock and certainly not the most frequent.
Laos may not have dollars enough to get hurt from this crisis.
Since when Laos invest on anything?? C'mon!!!!! Less tourists means less $$$ coming into Laos. So!!! stop being stubborn and think Laos is fine and dandy.
RE: That's F'cking Lao official don't know what the hell he was talking about ? I was wonder Where was he Graduate from School? Pre-school? and I can tell you that this F'cking guy Rising Up there Because of his F'cking connections in there,
The term financial crisis is applied broadly to a variety of situations in which some financial institutions or assets suddenly lose a large part of their value. In the 19th and early 20th centuries, many financial crises were associated with banking panics, and many recessions coincided with these panics. Other situations that are often called financial crises include stock market crashes and the bursting of other financial bubbles, currency crises, and sovereign defaults.
Many economists have offered theories about how financial crises develop and how they could be prevented. There is little consensus, however, and financial crises are still a regular occurrence around the world.
Khonthakek,
What do you meant by the bank being panic? It is beyond panic brother, banks are loosing their $$$ and forced to close its branch left and right. So many people I know are being affected by this bad economy. Some are even loosing their jobs and foreclose their homes. This is beyond panic ok!
Tell me when was the last time any major banks in U.S. close down?
Yes...It's also impact to Lao as it's not just America but the whole world financial crisis. Especially about Tourism in Lao which not just impact from world fanacial crisis but also political problem in Thailand b'cos most of th tourist they come to Thailand first before come into Lao and also the lates deadly Swine Flu